Poo, Mark Ching-Pong and Kamalian, Leila and Yang, Zaili and Lau, Yui-yip (2024) Climate Threats and Resilience Assessment of Road and Railway Networks: Scenario Analysis for 2025, 2030, 2050. In: Human Systems Engineering and Design (IHSED2024) Future Trends and Applications, September 24-26, 2024.
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Abstract
Road and railway networks are significantly impacted by climate change, facing various climate extremes on different scales (de Miranda Pinto et al., 2018, Hooper and Chapman, 2012, Nemry and Demirel, 2012)Forecasting the future impacts on these essential transport and logistics links, vital for human lives, goes beyond likelihood and risk severity. Resilience, a key factor, is evaluated uniquely in this study. We employ Bayesian network analysis to assess the strength of road and railway systems in relation to various climate-induced threats under changing climatic conditions. (Zhou et al., 2017). This research model explicitly impacts road networks for 2025, 2030, and 2050 by analysing the likelihood of occurrences, the extent of damage, and overall resilience.Understanding the urgency of these impacts is essential for proactive planning and policymaking. This study, with its comprehensive framework that integrates various factors influencing the resilience of transportation networks, is a proactive step. It highlights the importance of incorporating resilience assessments into infrastructure planning and management, which will help mitigate potential disruptions and ensure the continued functionality and reliability of transport networks in the face of climate change.
| Item Type: | Conference or Workshop Item (Paper) |
|---|---|
| Faculty / Department: | Faculty of Business, Law and Criminology > Liverpool Hope Business School |
| Depositing User: | Ching Pong Poo |
| Date Deposited: | 23 Sep 2024 08:52 |
| Last Modified: | 18 Dec 2024 09:53 |
| URI: | https://hira.hope.ac.uk/id/eprint/4370 |
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